Development and Population: Analysis of Population Decline Trend Based on a Development-Oriented Approach (Study of Sarvabad County in Kurdistan Province)

Authors

1 Professor of Department of Social Sciences, Faculty of Social and Economic Sciences, Payam Noor University, Tehran, Iran.

2 Assistant Professor, Institute of Social Studies and Research, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.

10.22080/ssi.2025.28273.2241

Abstract

Objectives: Sarvabad County in Kurdistan Province is one of the few counties that has faced population decline in recent years due to numerous reasons and factors. An important point in this regard is the existence of important potentials in agriculture, tourism, as well as animal husbandry and many other things that have not had much effect on the survival of the population and increasing its quality. The aim of the present study is to qualitatively analyze the reasons for the population decline in the county based on a development approach. Methods: The research method of the present study was qualitative based on grounded theory and semi-structured interviews with 45 key informants of the county. Thematic analysis technique was also used to analyze the interviews. Results: The findings of the study based on a development-oriented approach indicate that Sarvabad County is not in a desirable position in terms of economic development and, subsequently, investment, job creation, and productivity of commercial sectors, markets, and cooperatives. Interviews also indicated this claim; lack of government investment, unstable economy, and marginality of the county, dominance of the security environment, ethnic and religious discrimination, limited political space for civil participation, and weakness of civil society and contradiction between traditional and modern culture and the formation of cultural changes, emigration of educated and professional individuals, and decreased livability and socio-economic resilience in villages have been introduced as the most important themes and issues of development in the county and as a result of its emigration. Conclusion: Based on the findings of the present study, a compensatory model is proposed as the main solution for the development of the county, which is based on supportive development. This type of development can be achieved with the participation and support of the government and its institutions, local people, and the institutions and associations of the county in order to achieve sustainability in the social, political, environmental, cultural, economic, and most importantly, demographic fields.

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Main Subjects

References

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Sociology of Social Institutions
Volume 12, Issue 26
February 2026
Pages 7-32

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